IFTF’s Map of the Decade

by Lilia Efimova on December 19, 2003

Found on a wall at a colleague’s office: IFTF’s Map of the Decade (you can also check other research resports by Institute for the Future). It worth A3 color printing and studying in detail :)

Trends (reformatted by me)

Emergence: from top-down to bottom-up sophistication. Emergence is about the unpredictable phenomena that occur when lots of individual actors following simple rules create complex behaviour.

The new agency: from trusted agents to self as agent. Agency is about who acts on behalf of the individual, the organisation, and the community – a who assumes the risks and burdens.

Shared value: from the value of proprietary ownership to the value of shared interests. Shared values is the increased value that information, products, and services acquire when they are held in common by players with diverse interests.

Focus & fusion: from virtual boundaries to embedded focal points. Focus is about the relationship pf the center to the periphery. In a distributed information world, the search for center – fused with real places – comes foreground.

Smart presence: from episodic interactions to persistent experiences. Presence is defined by the experience of persistence – whether it’s an always-on web cam or the digital tracks left behind by visitors to public spaces.

Health values: from traditional health care to a burgeoning health economy. Health values are like family values – they provide a touchstone for all kinds of decisions at home, in the workplace, and in the community.

Archived version of this entry is available at http://blog.mathemagenic.com/2003/12/19.html#a876; comments are here.

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